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Concarneau vs Orleans

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Seba D.
45'
Raillot L.
46'
Sub
Obiang J. In: Balenga Nsombi E.
Out: Obiang J.

AI Match Summary

Orleans in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Concarneau
15%
Draws
40%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Orleans have won more games recently than Concarneau.
  • Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Orleans
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
3:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Legendre R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 50 / 100
Orleans 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Orleans has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Concarneau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Orleans
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
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Orleans

(Away)
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
11 Jul
Clermont
1 : 0
Orleans
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caen 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Thionville 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Orleans 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Le Puy-en-Velay 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Bourg Peronnas 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 La Roche Vendee 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Paris 13 Atletico 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Amiens SC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Cannes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Rouen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Fleury-Merogis 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
13 Versailles 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 Quevilly 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Bastia 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Concarneau 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Aubagne FC 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
18 Valenciennes 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)