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Concarneau vs Orleans - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Seba D.
45'
Raillot L.
46'
Sub
Obiang J. In: Balenga E.
Out: Obiang J.

AI Match Summary

Orleans in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orleans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Concarneau
35%
Draws
14%
Orleans
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Concarneau average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Orleans's 1.13.
  • Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Orleans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Orleans
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
3:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer Legendre R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 95 / 100
Orleans 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Orleans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Concarneau scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Orleans has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Orleans
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

Orleans

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)