Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Plouvorn

France France

Coupe de France 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Concarneau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Concarneau
20%
Draws
34%
Plouvorn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Concarneau come out ahead of Plouvorn on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Concarneau taking it.
  • Concarneau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Concarneau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 19%
Plouvorn Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Plouvorn
Matches Played 36 13
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 0
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2008 Coupe de France
Concarneau vs Plouvorn
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 76 / 100
Plouvorn 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Plouvorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plouvorn let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

Concarneau's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
Page 1 of 8

Plouvorn

(Away)
30 Nov
Les Sables
2 : 1
Plouvorn
16 Nov
Vitre
1 : 2
Plouvorn
20 Nov
Plouvorn
0 : 1
Vannes
30 Oct
Plouvorn
1 : 0
Sable
17 Nov
Pontivy
1 : 0
Plouvorn
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Tours 4
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Amiens AC 0
Pacy Eure 1
St. Louis Neuweg 0
JA Drancy 1
SC Feignies (inactive) 3
Evolucas 2
Alencon 2
Mondeville 1
Olympique Marcquois 0
Ezanville Ecouen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carquefou 0
Lucon 1
Orleans 0
Montlucon 1
Pont De Roide 2
Ornans 1
Montreal-la-Cluse 1
Tour Saint Clair 7
Bourg Peronnas 2
USC Corte 1
Chenove 1
GFC Ajaccio 3
Troyes 5
Saint Priest 4
Luneray 0
Beauvais 1
Neuhof Strasbourg 1
Bischheim Soleil 0
Etoile Sportive Pennoise 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Port La Nouvelle 3
Cognac 1
TBD -
Toulon -
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Aurillac 0
Balma 0
Rodez 1
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rilhac Rancon 2
Villenave 1
Saint-Alban 1
Blagnac 4
Arras 1
Lens 0
Colmar 1
Tefana 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Vannes 3
Cherbourg 1
Le Touquet 2
Issy 1
Chauny 2
OCPAM 0
Saumur Olympique 1
Chateauroux 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RC Riviere-Pilote 0
Fontenay 4
Bagnols Pont 2
AC Ajaccio 3
Dijon 1
Haguenau 0
FC Pont De Cheruy 0
Selongey 1
Chatellerault 2
La Chapelle 0
Dieue-Sommedieue 1
Eclaron Valcourt 2
Orly 4
Saint-Pryve 1
Lesneven 1
Plabennec 2
Grenoble-Villeneuve 0
Pont Du Gard 2
Villefranche 2
Clermont L'Herault 1
Grande-Synthe 1
St Ouen 0
Ribecourt 0
Marquette 3
Quevilly 6
Creil 0
Biache 0
Calais 2
Raon L Etape 1
Saint Die 0
Fameck 0
Ligny-En-Barrois 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grenoble -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Clermont 4
Cruseilles 0
Luzenac 1
Bastia 2
Creutzwald 5
Bar-sur-Seine 1
Mars Bischheim 2
Schirrhein 4
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Niort 2
Les Herbiers 1
Saint-Malo 1
Quimper Stade 2
Lesquin 1
Chantilly 0
Evreux 0
Boulogne 2
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Briochin 4
La Gacilly 3
Plouvorn 0
Concarneau 2
Besancon RC 4
Pierrots Vauban 1
Dizier 0
Amneville 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Mont Dore 2
Dunkerque 4
Villeneuve SG 1
Reims 9
Cannes 3
Foudre 1
Saint-Flour 1
Montpellier 3
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Les Ulis 0
Lons 0
Epinal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Sedan 1
Noisy Le Sec 0
Sannois 0
Strasbourg 6
Stade Poitevin 1
Thouare SL 0
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Andrezieux 2
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers 7
Arnage-Pontlieue 2
Sable 0
Romorantin 1
Creteil 2
Metz 1
Saint Lo Manche 1
Viry-Chatillon 2
Paris FC 3
Sarreguemines 0
Wasquehal 1
Evry 1
Bayonne 1
Genets 0
Firminy 1
Nimes 2
Larmor Plage 1
Pontivy 0
Libourne 1
Vitre 2
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thiers 1
Albertville 0
Vichy 1
Moulins-Yzeure 5
Alfortville 2
La Suze 0
Roubaix 0
Henin 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Havre -
Brest 1
Servel Lannion 0
FC Amilly 0
Change 2
Cayenne 0
Martigues 1
Montceau 0
Thonon-Evian 1
Saint-Omer 1
Amiens SC 0
Fresnoy 0
Avion 6
La Vitreenne 3
TA Rennes 0
Dinard 0
Guingamp 5
1/64-finals
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Tours 1
Pacy Eure 0
Jeanne d'Arc 3
SC Feignies (inactive) 2
Alencon 3
Ezanville Ecouen 1
TBD -
Lorient -
PSG -
TBD -
Lucon 0
Montlucon 1
Pont De Roide 2
Tour Saint Clair 1
Bourg Peronnas 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
Troyes 3
Beauvais 1
Neuhof Strasbourg 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
Port La Nouvelle 1
Toulon 0
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Rodez 3
Monaco -
TBD -
Rilhac Rancon 0
Blagnac 1
Arras 0
Tefana 0
TBD -
Nice -
Vannes 5
Issy 0
Chauny 0
Chateauroux 4
Auxerre -
TBD -
Fontenay 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Dijon 6
Selongey 3
Chatellerault 0
Eclaron Valcourt 1
Orly 5
Plabennec 3
Pont Du Gard 1
Villefranche 2
Grande-Synthe 1
Marquette 0
Quevilly 1
Calais 2
Raon L Etape 1
Ligny-En-Barrois 1
TBD -
Grenoble -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
Clermont 1
Bastia 0
Creutzwald 1
Schirrhein 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Niort 1
Quimper Stade 0
Lesquin 0
Boulogne 4
Lyon -
TBD -
Stade Briochin 0
Concarneau 0
Besancon RC 3
Amneville 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Dunkerque 2
Reims 1
Cannes 0
Montpellier 1
Sainte-Genevieve 4
Epinal 1
TBD -
Lille -
Sedan 4
Strasbourg 2
Stade Poitevin 0
Andrezieux 1
Nancy -
TBD -
Angers 9
Romorantin 10
Creteil 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Paris FC 1
Evry 2
Bayonne 1
Nimes 0
Larmor Plage 0
Vitre 5
Le Mans -
TBD -
Thiers 0
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Alfortville 1
Henin 0
TBD -
Le Havre -
Brest 4
Change 2
Martigues 1
Thonon-Evian 3
Saint-Omer 2
Avion 1
La Vitreenne 1
Guingamp 2
1/32-finals
Rennes 1
Sochaux 0
Bordeaux 0
St Etienne 1
Tours 7
Jeanne d'Arc 1
Alencon 2
Lorient 3
PSG 1
Montlucon 0
Pont De Roide 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Troyes 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Port La Nouvelle 0
Rodez 3
Monaco 1
Blagnac 0
Arras 1
Nice 3
Vannes 1
Chateauroux 0
Auxerre 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Dijon 5
Eclaron Valcourt 0
Orly 1
Villefranche 2
Grande-Synthe 2
Calais 1
Raon L Etape 0
Grenoble 1
Toulouse 1
Valenciennes 0
Clermont 2
Schirrhein 4
Caen 3
Nantes 2
Niort 1
Boulogne 2
Lyon 6
Concarneau 0
Besancon RC 1
Marseille 2
Dunkerque 1
Montpellier 0
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Lille 3
Sedan 2
Andrezieux 0
Nancy 0
Romorantin 1
Creteil 5
Evry 0
Bayonne 0
Vitre 2
Le Mans 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Alfortville 0
Le Havre 2
Brest 3
Thonon-Evian 2
Saint-Omer 1
Guingamp 3
1/16-finals
Rennes 2
St Etienne 0
Tours 1
Lorient 2
PSG 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
Troyes 1
Rodez 2
Monaco 1
Nice 0
Vannes 0
AC Ajaccio 2
Dijon 4
Villefranche 1
Grande-Synthe 1
Grenoble 3
Toulouse 8
Schirrhein 0
Caen 1
Boulogne 3
Lyon 1
Marseille 0
Dunkerque 0
Lille 3
Sedan 1
Romorantin 0
Creteil 1
Vitre 2
Le Mans 1
Le Havre 0
Brest 0
Guingamp 2
1/8-finals
Rennes 3
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Rodez 3
Monaco 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Dijon 1
Grenoble 2
Toulouse 2
Boulogne 0
Lyon 2
Lille 3
Sedan 3
Vitre 0
Le Mans 0
Guingamp 1
Quarter-finals
Rennes 2
Rodez 0
Monaco 0
Grenoble 2
Toulouse 2
Lille 1
Sedan 1
Guingamp 3
Semi-finals
Rennes 1
Grenoble 0
Toulouse 1
Guingamp 2
Final
Rennes 1
Guingamp 2