Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Rouen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Benzia M. In: Bezzekhami O.
Out: Benzia M.
65'
65'
Sub
Seydi I. In: Kerouedan A.
Out: Seydi I.
67'
67'
Sub
Gbelle G. In: Sinquin T.
Out: Gbelle G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rouen lately — more wins on the board than Concarneau.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 18%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Rouen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
0:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
4:3
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
1:1
Apr 21, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Rouen
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concarneau 32 / 100
Rouen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concarneau Rouen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rouen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Concarneau remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Concarneau's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Rouen let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Concarneau VS Rouen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home) 03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2 Orleans
Page 1 of 4
Rouen
(Away) 03 Oct
Rouen
2 : 0 Bourg Peronnas
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0 Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4 Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1 Valenciennes
Page 1 of 7
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2 Rouen
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4 Rouen
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2 Rouen
14 Aug
Orleans
1 : 2 Rouen
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1 Rouen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury 91 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
