Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Rouen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Benzia M. In: Bezzekhami O.
Out: Benzia M.
65'
Sub
Seydi I. In: Kerouedan A.
Out: Seydi I.
67'
Sub
Gbelle G. In: Sinquin T.
Out: Gbelle G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Concarneau
30%
Draws
31%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rouen lately — more wins on the board than Concarneau.
  • Concarneau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Rouen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Rouen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
0:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Concarneau
4:3
Sep 27, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Rouen
1:1
Apr 21, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Rouen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 59 / 100
Rouen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Rouen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Rouen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
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Rouen

(Away)
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)