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Concarneau vs Sedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2022/2023 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Gassama O.
29'
Rabillard A.
59' Event
Quarshie J.

AI Match Summary

The National 2022/2023 game between Concarneau and Sedan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Concarneau
20%
Draws
28%
Sedan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sedan come out ahead of Concarneau on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Concarneau taking it.
  • Regular National 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Sedan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Sedan
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Sedan
0:1
Nov 4, 2022 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Concarneau
1:3
Apr 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Concarneau
2:2
Nov 8, 2021 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Sedan
1:1
Feb 3, 2017 Ligue 3
Sedan vs Concarneau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarshie J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 95 / 100
Sedan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Sedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Concarneau's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sedan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
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Sedan

(Away)
03 Feb
FC Rodange 91
2 : 0
Sedan
26 May
Sedan
0 : 3
Villefranche
19 May
Stade Briochin
2 : 1
Sedan
12 May
Sedan
3 : 2
Chateauroux
28 Apr
Cholet
1 : 2
Sedan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concarneau 34 19 6 9 60:37 62
2 Dunkerque 34 19 5 10 50:32 62
3 Red Star 34 17 9 8 51:30 60
4 Martigues 34 15 15 4 54:40 60
5 Versailles 34 14 9 11 41:41 51
6 Villefranche 34 11 13 10 49:40 46
7 Sedan 34 12 10 12 41:47 46
8 Cholet 34 11 12 11 38:41 45
9 Avranches 34 14 4 16 44:46 45
10 Orleans 34 10 14 10 38:37 44
11 Chateauroux 34 12 8 14 41:46 44
12 Le Mans 34 10 13 11 50:42 43
13 Nancy 34 10 12 12 37:42 41
14 Bourg Peronnas 34 9 13 12 42:46 40
15 Stade Briochin 34 8 14 12 36:46 38
16 Le Puy-en-Velay 34 7 14 13 34:50 35
17 Paris 13 Atletico 34 6 13 15 28:42 31
18 Borgo 34 6 8 20 32:61 26
Promotion - Ligue 2 2023/2024 (Main)