Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Thionville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
Match Events
7'
7'
Janno S.
Assist: Goujon L.
23'
23'
Sub
Atangana J. In: Wanduka C.
Out: Atangana J.
32'
32'
Wanduka C.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 3 game between Concarneau and Thionville finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
30%
6%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Concarneau haven't matched Thionville's recent run of results.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Concarneau taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Thionville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Thionville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Thionville
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concarneau Compare
Top Goalscorer Janno S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Etcheverria B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Thionville Compare
Top Goalscorer Wanduka C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gobitaka F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concarneau 95 / 100
Thionville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concarneau Thionville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Concarneau went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Concarneau scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Thionville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Concarneau VS Thionville
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home) 17 Oct
Concarneau
1 : 1 Bastia
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Concarneau
1 : 1 Bastia
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
Page 1 of 4
Thionville
(Away) 17 Oct
Thionville
1 : 2 Versailles
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2 La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4 Rouen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0 Thionville
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1 Thionville
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 2 Thionville
07 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 3 Thionville
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Versailles | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Caen | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Concarneau | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Amiens SC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 8 | Cannes | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 9 | Fleury 91 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Paris 13 Atletico | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 15 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Thionville | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Bastia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 12 |
| 14 | Valenciennes | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 15 | Orleans | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Villefranche | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg Peronnas | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5:16 | 5 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
