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Concordia Elblag vs Huragan Morag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bojas J.
42' Event
Szuminski K.
60' Event
Bojas J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Concordia Elblag in this III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concordia Elblag.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Concordia Elblag
20%
Draws
51%
Huragan Morag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Huragan Morag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia Elblag have won more games recently than Huragan Morag.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Huragan Morag taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Concordia Elblag here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 13%
Huragan Morag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Elblag Huragan Morag
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 10
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.74 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Huragan Morag
4:1
Oct 10, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Concordia Elblag
0:3
Jun 13, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Concordia Elblag
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Huragan Morag
3:1
May 27, 2017 III Liga - Group I
Huragan Morag vs Concordia Elblag
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kopka L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Huragan Morag Compare

Top Goalscorer Szuminski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Elblag 10 / 100
Huragan Morag 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Elblag Huragan Morag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huragan Morag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huragan Morag let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Concordia Elblag found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (38 games).

Concordia Elblag has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Concordia Elblag VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia Elblag

(Home)
18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2
Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1
Concordia Elblag
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Huragan Morag

(Away)
26 Feb
Powisle Dzierzgon
3 : 5
Huragan Morag
29 Jan
DKS Dobre Miasto
3 : 2
Huragan Morag
22 Jan
Zatoka Braniewo
2 : 2
Huragan Morag
18 Jun
Huragan Morag
6 : 4
Wysokie Mazowieckie
12 Jun
Olimpia Zambrow
2 : 1
Huragan Morag
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