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Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Bomfim D.
87' Event
Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
88' Event
Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Concordia U20 and Nacao U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacao U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Concordia U20
15%
Draws
85%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nacao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Concordia U20 come out ahead of Nacao U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Nacao U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
0:3
Jun 28, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Concordia U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bomfim D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia U20 31 / 100
Nacao U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia U20 Nacao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacao U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacao U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Concordia U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Nacao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concordia U20 VS Nacao U20
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia U20

(Home)
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Nacao U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Nacao U20
1 : 7
Barra FC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)