Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gui Lobo
14' Event
Luiz Phillipe
37' Event
da Costa Silva P. M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Concordia
20%
Draws
48%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Criciuma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Criciuma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Concordia Clean Sheet 19%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Criciuma
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.8 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
4:0
Feb 12, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Phillipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Costa Silva P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Lobo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 36 / 100
Criciuma 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Criciuma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Concordia scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Criciuma registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Criciuma conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Criciuma
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Criciuma

(Away)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3