Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gui Lobo
14' Event
Luiz Phillipe
37' Event
da Costa Silva P. M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Concordia
6%
Draws
90%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Criciuma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Criciuma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Criciuma arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Criciuma, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Criciuma have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Concordia Clean Sheet 21%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Criciuma
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
4:0
Feb 12, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
2:2
Jan 19, 2026 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Criciuma vs Concordia
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Catarinense
Concordia vs Criciuma
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Phillipe
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Costa Silva P. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Lobo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 10 / 100
Criciuma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Concordia scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Criciuma has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Concordia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Criciuma
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Criciuma

(Away)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 2
Criciuma 6
TBD -
Brusque -
Santa Catarina 1
Avai 5
TBD -
Camboriu -
Semi-finals
Criciuma 1
Brusque 0
Avai 0
Camboriu 1
Final
Criciuma 4
Camboriu 3