Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia vs Figueirense

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gaudencio
25'
Sub
Denner In: Guilhon J.
Out: Denner
28'
Caio Mota

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Concordia and Figueirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Concordia
35%
Draws
55%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Figueirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Figueirense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Concordia Clean Sheet 24%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Figueirense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Figueirense
1:0
Jan 29, 2025 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Concordia
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Figueirense
3:0
Feb 1, 2024 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Concordia
2:0
Oct 29, 2023 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Figueirense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Streit
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Figueirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 10 / 100
Figueirense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Figueirense let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Concordia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Figueirense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Figueirense

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0
Figueirense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)