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Concordia vs Fluminense de Joinville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019
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AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Concordia
20%
Draws
60%
Fluminense de Joinville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense de Joinville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concordia lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense de Joinville.
  • Model gives Concordia a 20% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%
Fluminense de Joinville Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Fluminense de Joinville
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.81 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2019 Catarinense 2
Concordia vs Fluminense de Joinville
1:0
Jun 29, 2019 Catarinense 2
Fluminense de Joinville vs Concordia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 38 / 100
Fluminense de Joinville 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Fluminense de Joinville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense de Joinville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Concordia scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Fluminense de Joinville's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Fluminense de Joinville

(Away)
12 Sept
Cacador Atletico Clube
3 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
08 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
2 : 1
Inter de Lages
05 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0
Fluminense de Joinville
02 Sept
Fluminense de Joinville
0 : 5
Carlos Renaux
28 Aug
Guarani de Palhoca
0 : 1
Fluminense de Joinville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 16 9 4 3 25:14 31
2 Almirante Barroso 16 9 4 3 24:13 31
3 Jaragua-SC 16 9 3 4 20:16 30
4 Inter de Lages 16 6 3 7 20:22 21
5 Camboriu 16 5 5 6 21:22 20
6 Fluminense de Joinville 16 5 4 7 21:20 19
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 7 6 17:20 16
8 Guarani de Palhoca 16 4 3 9 12:21 15
9 Prospera Criciuma 16 2 7 7 9:21 13
10 Blumenau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 (Play Offs)