Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia vs Tubarao

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Copa Santa Catarina 2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Concordia
33%
Draws
40%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia haven't matched Tubarao's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tubarao's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tubarao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Concordia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Tubarao
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 3 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Tubarao
2:1
Aug 5, 2020 Catarinense
Concordia vs Tubarao
2:1
Aug 1, 2020 Catarinense
Tubarao vs Concordia
0:2
Feb 16, 2020 Catarinense
Concordia vs Tubarao
4:1
Mar 7, 2018 Catarinense
Tubarao vs Concordia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 26 / 100
Tubarao 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Concordia found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Tubarao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tubarao let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS Tubarao
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Tubarao

(Away)
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0
Nacao
01 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Tubarao
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias541011:413
2Joinville530211:49
3Gremio Juventus52216:58
4Concordia52128:107
5NEC52038:126
6Tubarao50053:120
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2020 (Play Offs)