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Concordia vs Tubarao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2020
Concordia Logo

Concordia

2 - 1
FT
Tubarao Logo

Tubarao

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Copa Santa Catarina 2020 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Concordia
20%
Draws
0%
Tubarao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Concordia haven't matched Tubarao's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Tubarao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Concordia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Tubarao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2021 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Tubarao
2:1
Aug 5, 2020 Catarinense
Concordia vs Tubarao
2:1
Aug 1, 2020 Catarinense
Tubarao vs Concordia
0:2
Feb 16, 2020 Catarinense
Concordia vs Tubarao
4:1
Mar 7, 2018 Catarinense
Tubarao vs Concordia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 30 / 100
Tubarao 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Tubarao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tubarao has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Concordia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Tubarao let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS Tubarao
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Tubarao

(Away)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
2 Joinville 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
3 Gremio Juventus 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
4 Concordia 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
5 NEC 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
6 Tubarao 5 0 0 5 3:12 0
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2020 (Play Offs)