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Condal vs Real Tapia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Condal and Real Tapia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Condal
20%
Draws
17%
Real Tapia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Condal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Condal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Condal Clean Sheet 16%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condal Real Tapia
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.89 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Real Tapia
3:0
Aug 25, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Condal
0:1
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Real Tapia
2:1
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Condal
1:0
Mar 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Real Tapia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condal 84 / 100
Real Tapia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condal Real Tapia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Tapia conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Condal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Real Tapia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Condal VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Condal

(Home)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 8

Real Tapia

(Away)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)