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Condal vs Ribadesella CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2009/2010 game between Condal and Ribadesella CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribadesella CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Condal
35%
Draws
27%
Ribadesella CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ribadesella CF haven't matched Condal's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Condal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ribadesella CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Condal Clean Sheet 16%
Ribadesella CF Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condal Ribadesella CF
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Condal
1:0
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Ribadesella CF
2:0
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Ribadesella CF
1:2
Oct 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Condal
3:2
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Ribadesella CF vs Condal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condal 84 / 100
Ribadesella CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condal Ribadesella CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ribadesella CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Condal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Condal scored in 56% of their last 41 games.

Scoring Trends

Condal VS Ribadesella CF
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Condal

(Home)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 9

Ribadesella CF

(Away)
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1
Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
15 May
Ribadesella CF
1 : 3
Nalon CF
08 May
Praviano
0 : 1
Ribadesella CF
01 May
Ribadesella CF
2 : 2
Real Oviedo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 8 5 73:27 83
2 Marino De Luanco 38 23 11 4 73:36 80
3 Universidad Oviedo 38 23 7 8 81:38 76
4 Llanes 38 21 7 10 68:38 70
5 Langreo 38 18 12 8 60:35 66
6 Ribadesella CF 38 19 8 11 63:44 65
7 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 74:56 64
8 Candas CF 38 15 14 9 49:32 59
9 Real Aviles 38 16 10 12 48:41 58
10 Lealtad 38 16 9 13 51:45 57
11 Navarro 38 10 15 13 49:57 45
12 Condal 38 12 8 18 36:59 44
13 Union Club Ceares 38 12 8 18 39:59 44
14 Cudillero 38 10 10 18 43:64 40
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 9 19 37:65 39
16 Praviano 38 10 8 20 31:52 38
17 Luarca 38 9 9 20 31:53 36
18 SD Colloto 38 10 5 23 34:60 35
19 Covadonga 38 9 6 23 35:61 33
20 Astur 38 6 3 29 31:84 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)