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Condeixa vs GD Fontinhas

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Condeixa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Condeixa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Condeixa
35%
Draws
47%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Fontinhas lately — more wins on the board than Condeixa.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on GD Fontinhas taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Condeixa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 25%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Fontinhas vs Condeixa
3:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Condeixa vs GD Fontinhas
3:1
Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Condeixa vs GD Fontinhas
3:0
Oct 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Condeixa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa 29 / 100
GD Fontinhas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa GD Fontinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Condeixa found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

GD Fontinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Condeixa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS GD Fontinhas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
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GD Fontinhas

(Away)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Fontinhas 18 14 2 2 32:15 44
2 Sertanense 18 12 3 3 30:12 39
3 Marinhense 18 7 6 5 19:18 27
4 SC Praiense 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
5 Vitoria Sernache 18 4 9 5 24:24 21
6 GD Peniche 18 5 6 7 20:22 21
7 Oleiros 18 5 5 8 11:17 20
8 SB Castelo Branco 18 4 7 7 13:19 19
9 Condeixa 18 6 1 11 21:23 19
10 UC Idanhense 18 1 9 8 18:35 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)