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Condeixa W vs Varzim W Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 game between Condeixa W and Varzim W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Condeixa W
30%
Draws
39%
Varzim W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varzim W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Condeixa W come out ahead of Varzim W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 16%
Varzim W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa W Varzim W
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 7 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.2 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Varzim W
2:2
Feb 5, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Condeixa W
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Varzim W vs Condeixa W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa W 31 / 100
Varzim W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa W Varzim W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Condeixa W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Condeixa W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Condeixa W VS Varzim W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa W

(Home)
05 Jun
Condeixa W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
28 May
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Condeixa W
22 May
Amora W
5 : 2
Condeixa W
15 May
Condeixa W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 6

Varzim W

(Away)
05 Jun
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Varzim W
29 May
Varzim W
3 : 1
Estoril Praia W
22 May
Atletico CP W
3 : 0
Varzim W
15 May
Varzim W
4 : 4
Amora W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)