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Conegliano vs Altavilla Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Zanini G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Conegliano and Altavilla finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Conegliano
30%
Draws
29%
Altavilla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Conegliano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Altavilla's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 17%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano Altavilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Altavilla
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs Conegliano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conegliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 28 / 100
Altavilla 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano Altavilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conegliano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Altavilla let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Conegliano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS Altavilla
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conegliano

(Home)
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
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Altavilla

(Away)
03 Oct
Schio
2 : 2
Altavilla
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
13 Sept
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 0
Altavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)