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Conegliano vs Bassano Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Conegliano host Bassano Virtus in the Serie D - Group C. This one's hard to separate. Bassano Virtus have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Conegliano have conceded 0.63 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Conegliano have won 0 to Bassano Virtus's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bassano Virtus. Bassano Virtus in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Conegliano
28%
Draws
50%
Bassano Virtus
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Conegliano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bassano Virtus.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Bassano Virtus.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 18%
Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano Bassano Virtus
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 14
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Bassano Virtus
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Bassano Virtus vs Conegliano
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 23 / 100
Bassano Virtus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano Bassano Virtus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conegliano scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bassano Virtus let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Conegliano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bassano Virtus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS Bassano Virtus
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111