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Conegliano vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Sognog L.
80' Event
Colombi M.
90' Event
Colombi M.

AI Match Summary

Conegliano in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Conegliano
15%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Conegliano lately — more wins on the board than Portogruaro.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Conegliano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano Portogruaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.1 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Portogruaro
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Conegliano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombi M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 1.03

Portogruaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Sognog L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 95 / 100
Portogruaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Portogruaro's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Conegliano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS Portogruaro
1 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.14
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Conegliano

(Home)
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
Page 1 of 6

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)