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Confianca PB vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sape
26'
Sub
Ryan Piteri In: Neto
Out: Ryan Piteri
37' Event
Jhonata Varela

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano game between Confianca PB and Botafogo PB finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Confianca PB
15%
Draws
42%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Confianca PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Confianca PB's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Confianca PB Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca PB Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Paraibano
Confianca PB vs Botafogo PB
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonata Varela
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca PB 36 / 100
Botafogo PB 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca PB Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Confianca PB scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Botafogo PB has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Botafogo PB registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botafogo PB
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca PB

(Home)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 0
Confianca PB
01 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 0
Confianca PB
Page 1 of 6

Botafogo PB

(Away)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
2 Campinense 9 4 3 2 14:9 15
3 Sousa 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
4 Serra Branca 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
5 Nacional PB 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Treze PB 9 4 0 5 11:11 12
7 EC de Patos 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
8 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 3 1 5 6:11 10
9 Confianca PB 9 2 2 5 12:17 8
10 Pombal 9 2 2 5 10:18 8
Promotion - Paraibano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 2027 (Main)