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Confianca vs Falcon

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Confianca Logo

Confianca

0 - 0
FT
Falcon Logo

Falcon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Confianca
20%
Draws
71%
Falcon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falcon lately — more wins on the board than Confianca.
  • Model gives Falcon a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Confianca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Confianca Clean Sheet 18%
Falcon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Falcon
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 2
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.94 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Sergipano
Confianca vs Falcon
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Sergipano
Confianca vs Falcon
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Sergipano
Falcon vs Confianca
1:2
Jan 16, 2025 Sergipano
Falcon vs Confianca
1:3
Jan 30, 2024 Sergipano
Confianca vs Falcon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 10 / 100
Falcon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Falcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Confianca found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Falcon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Confianca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Falcon
0.63 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 0.17
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
12 Jul
Botafogo PB
2 : 0
Confianca
04 Jul
Confianca
1 : 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Falcon

(Away)
18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1
Falcon
05 Aug
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)