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Cong An Ha Noi vs Gia Lai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Marciel
46'
Sub
Nguyen Thanh Nhan In: Vo Dinh Lam
Out: Nguyen Thanh Nhan
46'
Sub
Pendant J. In: China
Out: Pendant J.

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cong An Ha Noi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
17%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Cong An Ha Noi have won more games recently than Gia Lai.
  • Model gives Cong An Ha Noi a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cong An Ha Noi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 68%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Gia Lai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.24 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Gia Lai
3:1
Dec 18, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:3
Apr 12, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Gia Lai
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:0
Jun 25, 2024 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Gia Lai
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer China
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pham Minh Phuc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

Gia Lai Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 95 / 100
Gia Lai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Gia Lai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Gia Lai has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Cong An Ha Noi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Gia Lai
2.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
08 Oct
Lion City Sailors
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
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Gia Lai

(Away)
20 Sept
Gia Lai
2 : 3
Hung Yen
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
07 Jun
Binh Duong
3 : 1
Gia Lai
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)