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Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Hang Day Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Geovane
15'
Le Van Do
26'
Dung Quang Nho

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Cong An Ha Noi and Phu Dong Ninh Binh finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cong An Ha Noi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cong An Ha Noi
44%
Draws
20%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cong An Ha Noi's 2.25 goals per match outpaces what Phu Dong Ninh Binh have produced (1.88).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 17%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:2
Feb 1, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:2
Sep 28, 2022 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1:3
Jul 17, 2022 V.League 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:2
Jul 18, 2021 V.League 2
Cong An Ha Noi vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Grafite
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Do Chung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 36 / 100
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Phu Dong Ninh Binh conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Cong An Ha Noi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324