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Cong An Ha Noi vs Song Lam Nghe An

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nguyen Dinh Bac
34' Event
Nguyen Dinh Bac
37' Event
Pham Minh Phuc

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 2025/2026 game between Cong An Ha Noi and Song Lam Nghe An finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cong An Ha Noi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
36%
Song Lam Nghe An
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cong An Ha Noi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cong An Ha Noi come out ahead of Song Lam Nghe An on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cong An Ha Noi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 68%
Song Lam Nghe An Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Song Lam Nghe An
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.23 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Song Lam Nghe An
4:2
Oct 18, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:5
Mar 1, 2025 V.League 1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Song Lam Nghe An
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Dinh Bac
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pham Minh Phuc
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Song Lam Nghe An Compare

Top Goalscorer Olaha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 95 / 100
Song Lam Nghe An 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Song Lam Nghe An

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Song Lam Nghe An conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cong An Ha Noi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Song Lam Nghe An
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
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Song Lam Nghe An

(Away)
12 Sept
Hanoi FC
1 : 4
Song Lam Nghe An
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
07 Jun
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 3
PVF-CAND
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
24 May
Binh Duong
0 : 1
Song Lam Nghe An
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)