Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U20 vs Uganda U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Loulendo J.
Assist: Soussou P.
11' Event
Ssematimba T.
16'
Ngongara C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Congo U20
15%
Draws
53%
Uganda U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda U20 lately — more wins on the board than Congo U20.
  • Uganda U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Congo U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U20 Uganda U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2024 African Games
Uganda U20 vs Congo U20
4:2
Feb 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Congo U20 vs Uganda U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Loulendo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mombouli A. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssematimba T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayanja S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U20 10 / 100
Uganda U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U20 Uganda U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Congo U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Uganda U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Congo U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Congo U20 VS Uganda U20
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Panama U20
0 : 1
Congo U20
10 Jun
Mexico U20
3 : 4
Congo U20
07 Jun
Denmark U20
2 : 0
Congo U20
04 Jun
Congo U20
0 : 2
Japan U20
22 Mar
Senegal U20
2 : 0
Congo U20
Page 1 of 6

Uganda U20

(Away)
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
18 Oct
Uganda U20
1 : 2
Tanzania U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Burundi U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams