Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U23 vs Guinea U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Camara A.
Assist: Bah A.
23'
Kokolo R.
40' Event
Ngatse Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Guinea U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Congo U23
20%
Draws
60%
Guinea U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guinea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guinea U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Guinea U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guinea U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Guinea U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U23 Guinea U23
Matches Played 16 23
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.06 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Guinea U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngatse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Guinea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soumah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U23 32 / 100
Guinea U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U23 Guinea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Congo U23's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Guinea U23 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Guinea U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Congo U23 VS Guinea U23
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Guinea U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Argentina U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
09 May
Indonesia U23
0 : 1
Guinea U23
22 Mar
USA U23
3 : 0
Guinea U23
07 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
04 Jul
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Guinea U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U23 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Guinea U23 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U23 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Congo U23 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U23 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Mali U23 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Niger U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Gabon U23 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 (Play Offs)