Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U23 vs Morocco U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Taha Y.
Assist: Targhalline O.
33'
Mbemba Kambamba J. B.
46'
Sub
Driouech C. In: Igamane H.
Out: Driouech C.

AI Match Summary

Morocco U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Congo U23
35%
Draws
53%
Morocco U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Morocco U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco U23 have won more games recently than Congo U23.
  • Win probability leans Morocco U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Morocco U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U23 Morocco U23
Matches Played 16 27
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Morocco U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Morocco U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taha Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U23 22 / 100
Morocco U23 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U23 Morocco U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo U23 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (16 games).

Morocco U23 has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Congo U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Congo U23 VS Morocco U23
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
Page 1 of 4

Morocco U23

(Away)
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
30 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Ivory Coast U23
26 Mar
Morocco U23
0 : 0
Ivory Coast U23
04 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 2
Belgium U21
26 Mar
Morocco U23
2 : 0
Wales U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U23 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Guinea U23 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U23 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Congo U23 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U23 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Mali U23 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Niger U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Gabon U23 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 (Play Offs)