Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo U23 vs Zambia U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-3. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Congo U23
30%
Draws
54%
Zambia U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zambia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Congo U23 haven't matched Zambia U23's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Zambia U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Congo U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo U23 Zambia U23
Matches Played 16 17
Wins 4 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Congo U23 vs Zambia U23
3:3
Sep 4, 2019 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zambia U23 vs Congo U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo U23 32 / 100
Zambia U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo U23 Zambia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Congo U23's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Zambia U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Congo U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Congo U23 VS Zambia U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo U23

(Home)
30 Jun
Congo U23
0 : 1
Morocco U23
27 Jun
Congo U23
1 : 3
Guinea U23
25 Jun
Ghana U23
3 : 2
Congo U23
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
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Zambia U23

(Away)
31 Mar
Zimbabwe
1 : 0
Zambia U23
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
26 Mar
Zambia U23
0 : 0
Egypt U23
22 Mar
Egypt U23
2 : 0
Zambia U23
29 Oct
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Sierra Leone U23
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola U23 1
South Africa U23 6
Mozambique U23 0
Zimbabwe U23 2
Malawi U23 0
Zambia U23 2
Burundi U23 1
Congo U23 2
Ghana U23 4
Gabon U23 0
Equatorial Guinea U23 1
Algeria U23 3
Cameroon U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
South Sudan U23 0
Tunisia U23 1
Niger U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 8
Guinea U23 2
Senegal U23 1
Sudan U23 2
Kenya U23 0
Libya U23 2
Nigeria U23 4
D.R. Congo U23 0
Morocco U23 6
Ethiopia U23 1
Mali U23 5
Final
South Africa U23 5
Zimbabwe U23 0
Zambia U23 5
Congo U23 4
Ghana U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Cameroon U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
Ivory Coast U23 2
Guinea U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 5
Morocco U23 1
Mali U23 2