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Congo vs Cameroon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade Alphonse Massemba-Débat, Brazzaville
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Match Events

24' Event
Bantsiele G. S.
Assist: Ikia Dimi Y.
46'
Sub
Fosso R. In: Nsongo B.
Out: Fosso R.
46'
Sub
Njoh L. In: Nagida M.
Out: Njoh L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Congo
30%
Draws
54%
Cameroon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cameroon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cameroon lately — more wins on the board than Congo.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Cameroon taking it.
  • Cameroon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cameroon, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Congo Clean Sheet 21%
Cameroon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo Cameroon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 3 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.64 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Cameroon
1:1
Jan 16, 2023 African Nations Championship
Cameroon vs Congo
1:0
Feb 20, 2020 Friendly International
Congo vs Cameroon
1:1
Jan 16, 2018 African Nations Championship
Cameroon vs Congo
0:1
Oct 31, 2015 African Nations Championship
Congo vs Cameroon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bantsiele G. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Cameroon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo 29 / 100
Cameroon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo Cameroon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameroon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Congo scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Cameroon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Congo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Congo VS Cameroon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)
29 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Cameroon
24 Sept
Namibia
1 : 0
Congo
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Cameroon

(Away)
29 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Cameroon
24 Sept
Cameroon
3 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
China
0 : 2
Cameroon
27 Mar
Australia
1 : 0
Cameroon
09 Jan
Cameroon
0 : 2
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)