Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Alphonse Massemba-Débat, Brazzaville

Congo

1 - 1

South Africa

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Mokwana E.

40'

Sub

Zwane T. In: Maswanganyi P.

Out: Zwane T.

45'

Bassouamina M.

Assist: Fauriel L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

Congo

20%

Draws

70%

South Africa

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Africa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and South Africa come out ahead of Congo on wins alone.
Model gives South Africa a 70% chance of winning this.
South Africa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor South Africa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Congo Clean Sheet 22%

South Africa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Congo	South Africa
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	3	12
Draws	8	12
Losses	16	6
Goals Scored	0.63	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.85	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.23	1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Africa

1:1

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs Congo

5:0

Oct 15, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

South Africa vs Congo

0:0

Oct 11, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Africa

0:2

Aug 15, 1997 World Championship

South Africa vs Congo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassouamina M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.61

South Africa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mokwana E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.98

Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo 29 / 100

South Africa 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Congo South Africa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Africa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: South Africa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Congo scored in 48% of their last 27 games.

Congo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Congo VS South Africa

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0.67 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)

24 Sept

Namibia

1 : 0

Congo

14 Oct

Morocco

1 : 0

Congo

08 Oct

Niger

3 : 1

Congo

05 Sept

Congo

1 : 1

Tanzania

19 Aug

Nigeria

2 : 0

Congo

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South Africa

(Away)

26 Sept

South Africa

2 : 1

Guinea

28 Jun

South Africa

0 : 1

Canada

25 Jun

South Africa

1 : 0

South Korea

18 Jun

Czech Republic

1 : 1

South Africa

11 Jun

Mexico

2 : 0

South Africa

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