Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo vs South Sudan

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Alphonse Massemba-Débat, Brazzaville
Congo Logo

Congo

1 - 0
FT
South Sudan Logo

South Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Massanga Matondo C. G.
Assist: Mboungou P.
25'
Sub
Dhata J. In: Geriga A.
Out: Dhata J.
30'
Jawa P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Congo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Congo
30%
Draws
47%
South Sudan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • South Sudan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Congo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • South Sudan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Congo Clean Sheet 68%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo South Sudan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.61 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Congo
3:2
Sep 5, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs South Sudan
1:0
Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Congo
0:1
Mar 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs South Sudan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Massanga Matondo C. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

South Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo 46 / 100
South Sudan 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo South Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: South Sudan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Congo's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Congo VS South Sudan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
Page 1 of 6

South Sudan

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0
South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)