Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Alphonse Massemba-Débat, Brazzaville

Congo

1 - 0

South Sudan

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Massanga Matondo C. G.

Assist: Mboungou P.

25'

Sub

Dhata J. In: Geriga A.

Out: Dhata J.

30'

Jawa P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Congo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Congo

20%

Draws

64%

South Sudan

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

South Sudan carry the better recent record into this one.
64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
South Sudan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Congo Clean Sheet 24%

South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Congo	South Sudan
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	3	6
Draws	8	8
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.63	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.85	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan vs Congo

3:2

Sep 5, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Sudan

1:0

Mar 27, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan vs Congo

0:1

Mar 23, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Congo vs South Sudan

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Massanga Matondo C. G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

South Sudan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo 33 / 100

South Sudan 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Congo South Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Sudan Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

South Sudan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: South Sudan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Congo's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Congo VS South Sudan

0.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo

(Home)

24 Sept

Namibia

1 : 0

Congo

14 Oct

Morocco

1 : 0

Congo

08 Oct

Niger

3 : 1

Congo

05 Sept

Congo

1 : 1

Tanzania

19 Aug

Nigeria

2 : 0

Congo

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South Sudan

(Away)

25 Sept

Malawi

2 : 1

South Sudan

29 Mar

South Sudan

0 : 1

Djibouti

26 Mar

Djibouti

0 : 4

South Sudan

25 Nov

Syria

2 : 0

South Sudan

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

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