Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Conil vs CD Guadalcacin

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conil in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Conil
15%
Draws
0%
CD Guadalcacin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Conil have won more games recently than CD Guadalcacin.
  • Model gives Conil a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Conil Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil CD Guadalcacin
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 26 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.68 0.56
Goals Conceded 1.05 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Guadalcacin
5:0
Nov 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Conil
0:2
Feb 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Guadalcacin
1:2
Oct 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs Conil
2:1
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs CD Guadalcacin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 85 / 100
CD Guadalcacin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil CD Guadalcacin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conil scored in 82% of their last 44 outings.

Defensive concern: CD Guadalcacin conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Guadalcacin registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
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CD Guadalcacin

(Away)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cadiz B 42 23 14 5 48:18 83
2 AD Ceuta 42 24 8 10 68:42 80
3 CD Utrera 42 22 13 7 59:29 79
4 Algeciras 42 22 11 9 64:35 77
5 Xerez Deportivo FC 42 20 17 5 49:24 77
6 Betis B 42 23 7 12 93:40 76
7 Los Barrios 42 21 13 8 64:43 76
8 Cordoba B 42 19 14 9 67:39 71
9 Ciudad de Lucena 42 16 10 16 56:53 58
10 Xerez CD 42 13 18 11 45:42 57
11 Puente Genil 42 12 19 11 52:49 55
12 Lebrijana 42 14 10 18 47:65 52
13 Coria C.F. 42 13 12 17 53:52 51
14 Inter Sevilla 42 13 11 18 43:68 50
15 Sevilla C 42 14 8 20 39:49 50
16 San Roque de Lepe 42 13 10 19 52:61 49
17 Conil 42 11 16 15 47:55 49
18 Arcos CF 42 13 10 19 45:53 49
19 Ecija 42 13 9 20 37:48 48
20 Cabecense 42 7 9 26 39:80 30
21 Atletico Espeleno 42 7 8 27 45:91 29
22 CD Guadalcacin 42 3 5 34 21:97 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)