Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Romero S.
38'
38'
Romero S.
59'
59'
Cantarino Abelleira D.
AI Match Summary
Conil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ciudad de Lucena have won more games recently than Conil.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Lucena taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ciudad de Lucena have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Conil Clean Sheet 18%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conil | Ciudad de Lucena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Conil
4:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Ciudad de Lucena
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Conil
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Conil
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Conil Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Garrido A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ciudad de Lucena Compare
Top Goalscorer Cantarino Abelleira D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cruz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Conil 28 / 100
Ciudad de Lucena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Conil Ciudad de Lucena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Conil found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Ciudad de Lucena let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Conil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Conil VS Ciudad de Lucena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Conil
(Home) 04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0 Cordoba B
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1 Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1 Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2 Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0 Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0 Cordoba B
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2 Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0 Dos Hermanas
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0 Pozoblanco
03 May
Conil
3 : 2 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad de Lucena
(Away) 04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3 Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2 Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3 Ciudad de Lucena
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
03 May
Cadiz B
3 : 0 Ciudad de Lucena
12 Apr
Sevilla C
0 : 3 Ciudad de Lucena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
