Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Conil vs Coria C.F.

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Acevedo Leon E.
5' Event
Camacho R.
16' Event
Sanchez Marin J.

AI Match Summary

Conil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Conil
20%
Draws
29%
Coria C.F.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Conil have won more games recently than Coria C.F..
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Conil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Conil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Conil Clean Sheet 68%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Coria C.F.
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.18 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Coria C.F.
4:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Conil
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Conil
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Coria C.F.
1:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs Conil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conil Compare

Top Goalscorer Camacho R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez Marin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Coria C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Acevedo Leon E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 68 / 100
Coria C.F. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Coria C.F.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Coria C.F. conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Conil found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Conil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS Coria C.F.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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Coria C.F.

(Away)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)