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Conil vs Marinaleda

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Conil Logo

Conil

2 - 1
FT
Marinaleda Logo

Marinaleda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Conil in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Conil
30%
Draws
28%
Marinaleda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Marinaleda haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Conil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Conil Clean Sheet 20%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Marinaleda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Marinaleda
1:1
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Conil
1:2
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Marinaleda
2:1
Oct 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Conil
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 58 / 100
Marinaleda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Marinaleda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Conil's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Conil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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Marinaleda

(Away)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)