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Conilon vs Aracruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Conilon Logo

Conilon

1 - 1
FT
Aracruz Logo

Aracruz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
30%
Draws
70%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aracruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aracruz lately — more wins on the board than Conilon.
  • Model gives Aracruz a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Conilon Clean Sheet 19%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Aracruz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
1:0
Feb 16, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:3
May 5, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
4:1
Apr 29, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
2:1
Mar 15, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Aracruz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aracruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aracruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aracruz registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conilon VS Aracruz
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 7

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)