Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Conilon vs Aracruz

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Conilon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
30%
Draws
70%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aracruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Conilon haven't matched Aracruz's recent run of results.
  • Aracruz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aracruz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aracruz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Conilon Clean Sheet 19%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Aracruz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
1:0
Feb 16, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:3
May 5, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs Conilon
4:1
Apr 29, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
2:1
Mar 15, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Aracruz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Aracruz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aracruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aracruz let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Aracruz has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Conilon VS Aracruz
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 7

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Conilon 6
Rio Branco ES 3
Vitoria ES 2
Aracruz 2
Final
Conilon 3
Aracruz 5