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Conilon vs Rio Branco ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
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AI Match Summary

Conilon in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
15%
Draws
85%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Branco ES lately — more wins on the board than Conilon.
  • Model gives Rio Branco ES a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Rio Branco ES arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Conilon, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Conilon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Conilon Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:0
Mar 2, 2013 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
0:3
Apr 21, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
2:4
Apr 14, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Rio Branco ES
2:1
Mar 10, 2012 Capixaba
Rio Branco ES vs Conilon
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Rio Branco ES 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Branco ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Conilon found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Rio Branco ES let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Rio Branco ES's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rio Branco ES
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Conilon 6
Rio Branco ES 3
Vitoria ES 2
Aracruz 2
Final
Conilon 3
Aracruz 5