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Conilon vs Vitoria ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Capixaba 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Conilon and Vitoria ES finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
15%
Draws
85%
Vitoria ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Conilon haven't matched Vitoria ES's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria ES's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Conilon Clean Sheet 15%
Vitoria ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Vitoria ES
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2014 Capixaba
Conilon vs Vitoria ES
0:3
Feb 26, 2014 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Conilon
3:1
Apr 3, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Vitoria ES
3:1
Feb 23, 2013 Capixaba
Vitoria ES vs Conilon
1:0
Mar 3, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Vitoria ES
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Vitoria ES 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Vitoria ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria ES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conilon's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria ES has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Vitoria ES lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria ES
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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Vitoria ES

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
27 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 0
Vitoria ES
23 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Vilavelhense
20 Jun
Vitoria ES
1 : 0
Betim FC
17 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Vitoria ES
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)