Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Cardiff Metropolitan University - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint 
Match Events
28'
28'
Snaith S.
44'
44'
Sub
Jones J. In: Flynn S.
Out: Jones J.
59'
59'
Sub
McCoy A. In: Woodcock M.
Out: McCoy A.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Connahs Q. and Cardiff Metropolitan University finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Connahs Q..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Connahs Q. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Connahs Q. a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Cardiff Metropolitan University |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Connahs Q.
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Connahs Q. Compare
Top Goalscorer Murray I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Connahs Q. Cardiff Metropolitan University
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Cardiff Metropolitan University has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Connahs Q. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Connahs Q. VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University
(Away) 03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Llandudno FC
0 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
