Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Haverfordwest Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint 
Match Events
20'
20'
Sub
Wilson J. In: Owen J.
Out: Wilson J.
29'
29'
Sub
Franklin H. In: Woodcock M.
Out: Franklin H.
39'
39'
Walters G.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Connahs Q. and Haverfordwest finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Connahs Q.'s 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Haverfordwest have produced (1.33).
- Model gives Connahs Q. a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Haverfordwest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Haverfordwest
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Haverfordwest
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Connahs Q.
1:3
Oct 12, 2024 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Connahs Q.
0:0
Aug 11, 2024 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Haverfordwest
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Connahs Q. Compare
Top Goalscorer Woodcock M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Haverfordwest Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Haverfordwest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Connahs Q. Haverfordwest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Connahs Q. scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Haverfordwest conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Connahs Q. VS Haverfordwest
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
Haverfordwest
(Away) 03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1 Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Llandudno FC
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
