Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Porthmadog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup Essity Stadium, Flint 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Connahs Q. have averaged 1.77 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Porthmadog's 1.64 scored and 1.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Connahs Q. have won 2 to Porthmadog's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2018, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Connahs Q. to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
- Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Porthmadog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Porthmadog has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Connahs Q. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
