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Stadium Background

Connahs Q. vs Pwllheli

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Connahs Q.
6%
Draws
4%
Pwllheli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Pwllheli.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
  • Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Connahs Q., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
Pwllheli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Pwllheli
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 17 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2010 FA Cup
Pwllheli vs Connahs Q.
1:6
Oct 3, 2009 FA Cup
Connahs Q. vs Pwllheli
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Pwllheli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Pwllheli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Pwllheli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 15 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Connahs Q. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS Pwllheli
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
16 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 2
Connahs Q.
08 Jul
Connahs Q.
0 : 0
FC Ballkani
27 Jun
Queen of the South
0 : 1
Connahs Q.
23 Jun
Larne
1 : 0
Connahs Q.
18 Apr
Connahs Q.
1 : 1
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 7

Pwllheli

(Away)
11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2
Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3
Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1
Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2
Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Bala1
Llanrug0
Caersws FC4
Coedpoeth1
Caerau Ely1
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Llangollen1
Llandudno Junction3
Cambrian United0
TNS2
Haverfordwest1
Aberystwyth2
Caldicot0
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn3
Grange Harlequins0
Porthmadog3
Rhydymwyn1
Rhyl4
Bridgend Town2
Pontardawe2
Llandudno FC0
Flint Town0
Bangor City1
Aberaman2
Ely Rangers0
Llanelli3
Carmarthen Town1
Llangeinor1
Holyhead6
1/8-finals
Bala2
Caersws FC0
Afan Lido2
Connahs Q.1
Llandudno Junction0
TNS6
Aberystwyth0
Port Talbot2
Prestatyn1
Porthmadog0
Rhyl7
Pontardawe0
Bangor City3
Aberaman1
Llanelli4
Holyhead0
Quarter-finals
Bala2
Afan Lido0
TNS2
Port Talbot3
Prestatyn5
Rhyl4
Bangor City2
Llanelli0
Semi-finals
Bala0
Port Talbot1
Prestatyn0
Bangor City2
Final
Port Talbot2
Bangor City3