Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Connahs Q. in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Connahs Q. have won more games recently than Pwllheli.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
- Connahs Q. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Connahs Q., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
Pwllheli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Pwllheli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 15 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Pwllheli vs Connahs Q.
1:6
Oct 3, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Q. vs Pwllheli
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Pwllheli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Connahs Q. Pwllheli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Connahs Q. scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
Pwllheli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 15 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Connahs Q. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Connahs Q. VS Pwllheli
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home) 15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
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Pwllheli
(Away) 11 Jul
Pwllheli
0 : 2 Llandudno FC
20 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 3 Rhyl
22 Jun
Pwllheli
1 : 1 Bala
16 Sept
Pwllheli
1 : 2 Felinheli
20 Oct
Pwllheli
0 : 3 Porthmadog
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12 Oct
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay
3 : 0 Pwllheli
09 Nov
Holyhead
5 : 2 Pwllheli
06 Oct
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 5 Pwllheli
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
2 : 0 Pwllheli
04 Oct
Llandudno Junction
0 : 2 Pwllheli
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
