Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Connahs Q. vs TNS

Wales Wales

League Cup Essity Stadium, Flint
Connahs Q. Logo

Connahs Q.

1 - 3
FT
TNS Logo

TNS

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Jefferies I.
38' Event
Jefferies I.
54' Event
Clark B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Connahs Q.
20%
Draws
44%
TNS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TNS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to TNS lately — more wins on the board than Connahs Q..
  • Connahs Q. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • TNS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TNS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TNS have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
TNS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. TNS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:2
Dec 31, 2025 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs TNS
3:1
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Connahs Q. vs TNS
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
TNS vs Connahs Q.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Franklin H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

TNS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefferies I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clark B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 42 / 100
TNS 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. TNS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Connahs Q. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

TNS let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS TNS
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2
Connahs Q.
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3
Connahs Q.
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2
Caernarfon
16 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 2
Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6

TNS

(Away)
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5
TNS
14 Aug
TNS
1 : 0
Briton Ferry
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0
TNS
30 Jul
TNS
1 : 1
Flora
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2