Sport Picks
Connahs Q. vs Trefelin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ferguson J.
17'
17'
John D.
20'
20'
Mehasseb H.
Assist: Ferguson J.
AI Match Summary
Connahs Q. in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Connahs Q..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Trefelin at 1.9 per game, Connahs Q. at 1.79.
- Model gives Connahs Q. a 78% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Connahs Q. here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 20%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Connahs Q. | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Trefelin
6:0
Nov 16, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Trefelin vs Connahs Q.
1:2
Sep 25, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Trefelin vs Connahs Q.
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Connahs Q. Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferguson J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mehasseb H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Trefelin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Connahs Q. 85 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Connahs Q. Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Trefelin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Connahs Q. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Connahs Q. VS Trefelin
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Connahs Q.
(Home) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 3
Trefelin
(Away) 03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0 Trefelin
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
