Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Connahs Q. vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Essity Stadium, Flint
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ferguson J.
17'
John D.
20' Event
Mehasseb H.
Assist: Ferguson J.

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Connahs Q..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Connahs Q.
15%
Draws
0%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trefelin lately — more wins on the board than Connahs Q..
  • Model gives Connahs Q. a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Connahs Q. here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 10%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Trefelin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 23
Draws 8 0
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Trefelin
6:0
Nov 16, 2024 FA Cup
Trefelin vs Connahs Q.
1:2
Sep 25, 2021 FA Cup
Trefelin vs Connahs Q.
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Connahs Q. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mehasseb H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Trefelin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 83 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Trefelin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Solid form: Connahs Q. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Q. VS Trefelin
0.88 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Q.

(Home)
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3
Connahs Q.
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2
Caernarfon
16 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 2
Connahs Q.
08 Jul
Connahs Q.
0 : 0
FC Ballkani
Page 1 of 6

Trefelin

(Away)
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0
Trefelin
07 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 4
Llandudno FC
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Trefelin
25 Jul
Bromsgrove
8 : 0
Trefelin
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2
Trefelin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Barry Town 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
3 Penybont 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 TNS 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Connahs Q. 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
6 Cardiff Metropolitan University 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
7 Caernarfon 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
9 Briton Ferry 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Cambrian United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Colwyn Bay 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
12 Ammanford Town 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
13 Flint Town 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
14 Haverfordwest 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
15 Holywell Town FC 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
16 Trefelin 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)