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Connahs Quay Town vs Bow Street Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Bow Street advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Connahs Quay Town
15%
Draws
57%
Bow Street
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bow Street

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bow Street carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bow Street's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Bow Street arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bow Street, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Connahs Quay Town Clean Sheet 10%
Bow Street Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Quay Town Bow Street
Matches Played 6 15
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 3 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Connahs Quay Town vs Bow Street
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Quay Town 22 / 100
Bow Street 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Quay Town Bow Street

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bow Street Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Quay Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bow Street conceded in 93% of 15 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bow Street lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Quay Town VS Bow Street
2.14 Goals Scored 2.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 3
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Quay Town

(Home)
15 Jul
Connahs Quay Town
5 : 1
Buckley
24 Jun
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 6
Llandudno FC
01 Oct
Montgomery
4 : 0
Connahs Quay Town
08 Aug
Connahs Quay Town
2 : 4
Wrexham
02 Oct
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 2
Bow Street
Page 1 of 2

Bow Street

(Away)
18 Oct
Bow Street
0 : 3
Flint Town
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2
Cefn Albion
15 Jul
Penrhyncoch
2 : 1
Bow Street
14 Oct
Bow Street
2 : 3
Buckley
16 Sept
Corwen
0 : 4
Bow Street
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Gwalchmai 1
Port Talbot 4
Caersws FC 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Bangor City 2
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Haverfordwest 3
Holyhead 2
Goytre Utd 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Connahs Q. 5
AFC Porth 3
Bow Street 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Porthmadog 0
Bala 1
Aberaman 0
Cefn Druids 4
Llanelli 1
Aberystwyth 0
Guilsfield 1
Rhos Aelwyd 2
Cambrian United 2
Prestatyn 3
Neath Athletic 1
Rhyl 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 3
Corus Steel 0
Grange Harlequins 2
Newtown 1
Bridgend Town 2
1/8-finals
Port Talbot 3
Caersws FC 0
Bangor City 5
Haverfordwest 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Connahs Q. 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Bala 1
Cefn Druids 1
Llanelli 4
Rhos Aelwyd 1
Prestatyn 6
Rhyl 1
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 1
Bridgend Town 0
Quarter-finals
Port Talbot 0
Bangor City 3
Connahs Q. 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Llanelli 1
Prestatyn 0
TNS 2
Grange Harlequins 0
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
Connahs Q. 0
Llanelli 1
TNS 0
Final
Bangor City 1
Llanelli 4