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Connahs Quay Town vs Llay Welfare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Sat, Jun 21, 2025
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Connahs Quay Town host Llay Welfare in the Club Friendly 2025. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Connahs Quay Town have averaged 2.5 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Llay Welfare's 1.26 scored and 2.44 conceded. Head-to-head, Connahs Quay Town have won 0 to Llay Welfare's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 1.54) point toward Connahs Quay Town. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Connahs Quay Town
15%
Draws
57%
Llay Welfare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llay Welfare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Llay Welfare have won more games recently than Connahs Quay Town.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Llay Welfare taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Connahs Quay Town Clean Sheet 15%
Llay Welfare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Quay Town Llay Welfare
Matches Played 6 27
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.5 1.26
Goals Conceded 3 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Connahs Quay Town vs Llay Welfare
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Quay Town 10 / 100
Llay Welfare 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Quay Town Llay Welfare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llay Welfare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Quay Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Llay Welfare has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Away concern: Llay Welfare has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Connahs Quay Town VS Llay Welfare
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.75
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Connahs Quay Town

(Home)
15 Jul
Connahs Quay Town
5 : 1
Buckley
24 Jun
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 6
Llandudno FC
01 Oct
Montgomery
4 : 0
Connahs Quay Town
08 Aug
Connahs Quay Town
2 : 4
Wrexham
02 Oct
Connahs Quay Town
1 : 2
Bow Street
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Llay Welfare

(Away)
22 Jul
Llay Welfare
4 : 0
Ellesmere Port
05 Jul
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Llansantffraid Village
01 Jul
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Denbigh
12 Apr
Llay Welfare
1 : 2
Guilsfield
04 Apr
Denbigh
5 : 0
Llay Welfare
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