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Conquense vs Toledo 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conquense in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Conquense
20%
Draws
23%
Toledo 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Toledo 2 haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Conquense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Conquense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Conquense Clean Sheet 20%
Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Toledo 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs Conquense
2:2
Sep 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Toledo 2
1:0
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Toledo 2
1:0
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Toledo 2 vs Conquense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 85 / 100
Toledo 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Toledo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conquense's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Toledo 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Conquense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
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Toledo 2

(Away)
14 May
Toledo 2
2 : 1
Illescas
07 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Toledo 2
29 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 1
CD Pedroneras
23 Apr
Toledo 2
1 : 4
Azuqueca
16 Apr
Madridejos
2 : 0
Toledo 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 38 24 4 10 54:26 76
2 Almagro 38 22 10 6 64:33 76
3 Azuqueca 38 20 10 8 58:31 70
4 UD Almansa 38 17 15 6 54:35 66
5 Quintanar del Rey 38 17 11 10 38:29 62
6 Madridejos 38 16 12 10 47:45 60
7 Illescas 38 16 10 12 50:47 58
8 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 44:38 54
9 Marchamalo 38 14 10 14 51:53 52
10 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 14 9 15 41:36 51
11 Toledo 2 38 14 9 15 50:48 51
12 Villarrubia 38 12 12 14 34:34 48
13 CD Pedroneras 38 12 12 14 36:42 48
14 Albacete B 38 10 16 12 47:51 46
15 Mora CF 38 13 7 18 43:48 46
16 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 39:43 45
17 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 15 14 29:42 42
18 La Gineta 38 8 8 22 41:61 32
19 San Jose Obrero 38 7 10 21 37:70 31
20 Munera CF 38 5 7 26 28:73 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)