Sport Picks
Conquense vs UD Ourense
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio La Fuensanta, Cuenca 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with UD Ourense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Conquense come out ahead of UD Ourense on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Conquense's way, sitting at 90%.
- Conquense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor UD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conquense | UD Ourense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Conquense Compare
UD Ourense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Conquense found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: UD Ourense conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Conquense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
