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Conquista FC U20 vs Serrano U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conquista FC U20 in this Baiano U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquista FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Conquista FC U20
6%
Draws
4%
Serrano U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Conquista FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Serrano U20 haven't matched Conquista FC U20's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Conquista FC U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Conquista FC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquista FC U20 Serrano U20
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 1
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Baiano U20
Serrano U20 vs Conquista FC U20
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Baiano U20
Conquista FC U20 vs Serrano U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquista FC U20 85 / 100
Serrano U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquista FC U20 Serrano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serrano U20 conceded in 86% of 14 recent games.

Conquista FC U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Conquista FC U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Conquista FC U20 VS Serrano U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquista FC U20

(Home)
14 Jun
Conquista FC U20
1 : 0
Jacobina U20
10 Jun
Jacobina U20
2 : 0
Conquista FC U20
03 Jun
Conquista FC U20
3 : 0
Porto-BA U20
30 May
Jequie U20
1 : 1
Conquista FC U20
24 May
Conquista FC U20
0 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
Page 1 of 6

Serrano U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
5 : 1
Serrano U20
30 May
Serrano U20
0 : 0
Grapiuna U20
24 May
Catuense U20
1 : 2
Serrano U20
09 May
Serrano U20
2 : 1
Jequie U20
02 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Serrano U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia U2014121162:837
2Galicia U201491424:1428
3Camacariense U201490537:2127
4SSA U201462629:1520
5Jacobina U201462618:1820
6Juazeirense U201453616:2518
7Feirense U2014301111:359
8Camacari U201411126:674
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria U2014121149:1437
2Fluminense de Feira U201483330:1827
3Jacuipense U201473424:1524
4Estrela De Marco U201464418:1622
5Alagoinhas U201463526:2321
6Bahia de Feira U201441916:2513
7Redencao U2014311017:3610
8Leonico U201412119:425
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto-BA U2014103131:1733
2Conquista FC U201494123:731
3Vitoria da Conquista U201464425:1122
4Barcelona FC U201453616:1618
5Grapiuna U201452718:1617
6Serrano U201451820:3016
7Jequie U201443718:2215
8Catuense U2014201216:486
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams