Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constancia vs Alaior

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Constancia
35%
Draws
13%
Alaior
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaior haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Constancia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
Alaior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Alaior
Matches Played 45 31
Wins 27 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.84 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alaior
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Constancia
1:3
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alaior
4:0
Aug 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Constancia
1:1
May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Constancia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 85 / 100
Alaior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Alaior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constancia found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (45 games).

Defensive concern: Alaior conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Constancia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 9

Alaior

(Away)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)